Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003121 0.003271 0.003423 0.003591 0.003770 0.003955 0.004162
2025-04-13 0.002775 0.002989 0.003216 0.003476 0.003764 0.004077 0.004442
2025-04-20 0.002618 0.002874 0.003153 0.003480 0.003855 0.004274 0.004780
2025-04-27 0.002528 0.002819 0.003143 0.003531 0.003988 0.004512 0.005164
2025-05-04 0.002406 0.002716 0.003067 0.003496 0.004011 0.004616 0.005388
2025-05-11 0.002309 0.002635 0.003009 0.003474 0.004044 0.004726 0.005617
2025-05-18 0.002221 0.002560 0.002953 0.003450 0.004068 0.004822 0.005828
2025-05-25 0.002185 0.002542 0.002963 0.003503 0.004187 0.005037 0.006198
2025-06-01 0.002120 0.002486 0.002924 0.003492 0.004222 0.005146 0.006431
2025-06-08 0.002052 0.002425 0.002874 0.003465 0.004234 0.005221 0.006620
2025-06-15 0.001978 0.002352 0.002807 0.003411 0.004207 0.005243 0.006735
2025-06-22 0.001912 0.002288 0.002748 0.003365 0.004188 0.005274 0.006861
2025-06-29 0.001870 0.002252 0.002725 0.003366 0.004231 0.005390 0.007115
2025-07-06 0.001784 0.002158 0.002624 0.003260 0.004127 0.005300 0.007068
2025-07-13 0.001749 0.002129 0.002606 0.003264 0.004171 0.005416 0.007325
2025-07-20 0.001734 0.002125 0.002620 0.003311 0.004276 0.005620 0.007723
2025-07-27 0.001689 0.002079 0.002578 0.003279 0.004268 0.005663 0.007875
2025-08-03 0.001651 0.002042 0.002545 0.003259 0.004276 0.005727 0.008065
2025-08-10 0.001613 0.002005 0.002512 0.003237 0.004279 0.005784 0.008242
2025-08-17 0.001605 0.002006 0.002529 0.003285 0.004386 0.005998 0.008683
2025-08-24 0.001575 0.001977 0.002506 0.003275 0.004406 0.006082 0.008913
2025-08-31 0.001541 0.001942 0.002473 0.003250 0.004403 0.006128 0.009083
2025-09-07 0.001500 0.001897 0.002424 0.003201 0.004361 0.006112 0.009148